تحليل و قياس العلاقة بين التوسع المالي و المتغيرات الاقتصادية : في العراق للمدة 1974-2010

Abstract EN

The research aims to analyze and measure the causal relationship between fiscal expansion and economic variables (current account, trade balance, capital account, the money supply tight, the broad money) in the Iraqi economy and the degree of interdependence between the two causal relations may be oneway or two-way (feedback) and identified economic theory direction of the relationship for many economic phenomena but some unresolved relationship between variables formula therefore has to be a causal study to determine the direction of that relationship has addressed this research two demands allocated first requirement standard approach used characterization in estimating the causal relationship.

The second requirement determine the direction of the causal relationship of the variables under study, using standard techniques of modern chains in time of unity and common integration test analysis and Granger causality Engle- Granger and model (VAR) Vector Auto Regressive.

has been reached and there is a causal relationship between fiscal expansion and capital account?.