التكهن باستهلاك الماء في محافظة ذي قار باستخدام النمذجة في السلاسل الزمنية وفق أسلوب بوكس-جينكنز

Abstract EN

Life without water is wasting because water is very important to life activities, and it is the main tributary for agriculture and industry.

Water system of filtering water includes the main stages such as productions, transmission, and distribution, therefore; large amount of water will loss through the processes of this step of water production before it received by the consumers.

In this case, the amount of produced water is less than the amount of consumed water in filtering water.

Thus, for the purpose of understanding and attempt to diagnose this problem, flow scheme was established to predict the water consumption by using modeling in a time series depending upon Box- Jenkins technique at Thi-Qar province during the period of 2016- 2020.

The results of this search showed that the water consumption will be slightly above the usual for the years 2016 and 2017,and the increasing in water C0nsumption will noticeably and exponentially until 2020.