قياس و تحليل اتجاهات النمو الاقتصادي في دول عربية مختارة مع تركيز على العراق للمدة (2000-2013)‎

Abstract EN

The study of the economic growth of any country of important topics and difficult at the same time because its importance comes from the need for continued economic growth and influenced its development and sustainability with the times in order to achieve the goal of development and promote the economic well-being of the number of current and future populations.

The growth process of the Arab countries selected in the study (United Arab Emirates, Egypt) may be an easy and understandable There is no need to complicate it for the enjoyment of their economies, the kind of stability and diversity of resources, while in Iraq, the issue of complex growth and spiky from several aspects, some dating back to previous eras, and the other is up to the events political and security experienced by the country up to the present.

So what eating Find in the first section (theoretical framework for economic growth and economic development) distributed to the three demands of the first demand theoretical framework of economic growth and the second requirement sources of economic growth and demand for the third theoretical framework for economic development.

The second topic was divided (analysis of macroeconomic variables for the sample countries and Iraq for the period (0000-0092)) to three demands also included a requirement in the first analysis of the UAE economy and demand variables second analysis of the Egyptian economy variables and the third requirement analysis Iraqi economy variables.

It was in the third section (measurement and analysis of the economic growth of the sample countries and Iraq for the period (0000-0092)) taking the first two demands requirement characterization and formulation of standard models and demand the second estimate and analysis of standard forms elected.

As well as in the third section was conducted test preprocessing indicators included growth in the standard models by testing unit root (Test Dickey Fuller expanded), where the results indicate that the growth indicators Emirates to the states and Egypt stable at second difference and the level of significance of %5.

As in Iraq, the indicators growth has stabilized in the first difference and the level of significance of %5.

Add to the use of economic measurement methods through a model of the production function (Cobb - Douglus) and model (Kaldor) and methods of mathematical measurement through a model (Harrod - Doumar) to see economic growth in those countries level as well as in support of the analysis which was based on numerical facts.

It turned out to be the best model for a function Production (cup Douglus) is in Egypt, where the flexibility of the labor (salaries and wages) 0202 and flexibility of the total fixed capital formation 0200, the best model for Kaldor is in the reaching productivity parameter that was larger than the one right denote 029.2 high production efficiency, and the best model of Harrod - Doumar was in Iraq as the Iraqi economy achieved a maximum rate of economic growth in 0002, reaching 2%2925.