التنبؤ بالتعثر المالي لبعض المؤسسات العاملة في القطاع الخاص الصناعي بولاية غرداية باستخدام التحليل التمييزي خلال الفترة (2009-2014)‎

Abstract EN

This article aims at studying prediction of the financial falter for some industrial foundations in the state of Ghardaia for the period between 2009 to 2014, by using a discriminatory analysis method .In order to answer the problematic of this paper, which focuses on the ability of the financial indicators to predict the falter of the industrial foundations.

The study included three industrial foundations, two faltering of foundations and one of them was healthy, that by trying to create a standard model for predicting the falter.

The study showed that there are four out of eight financial indicators used in the study that have the ability to distinguish: Assets transferred to current liabilities, revenue to total assets, revenue to net capital, special fundus to noncurrent assets, while the study concluded that probability of discrimination the financial position through analytical reading of ratios was weak as the qualification quality of the model was very high 100%, through which it is possible to distinguish accurately between industrial foundations