أثر تقلبات أسعار النفط على الناتج المحلي الإجمالي في الجزائر : باستخدام نموذج تصحيح الخطأ EC

Abstract EN

The aim of thispaperis to investigate the impact of the oilprices fluctuations in the world market on the Algerian macro economy, throughstudying the impact of oilprice OP on Gross Domestic Product (GDP, as an important economic index), The presentStudy relies on The Co-integrationMethodology to determine the impact in Short and Long Run by applying The Error Correction Model ECM.

This Studyisbased on Econometricapproach to measure the impact of oilprices on Algerian Macro-economy, during the period (1990 to 2013).

Eviews-5 program isused to analyze the results.

The results show thatOilPrices have an important Positive Impact in the short and Long-term on The Gross Domestic Product GDP Finally, The StudyRecommends the importance of adopting a policythatallowsreducing the dependence on the OilSectorthrough diversification of income sources which, in turn, helps to raise GDP.