أثر الأدوات الكمية (الغير مباشرة)‎ للسياسة النقدية على بعض مؤشرات الاستقرار المالي في العراق للمدة (2003-2016)‎

Abstract EN

The indirect monetary policy tools led to financial stability for the period being studied through the use of indicators of financial stability (aggregate) to show the effect of the foreign reserves of the Central Bank of Iraq and its indirect instruments in achieving financial and economic stability, especially after the significant decline in oil prices and dependence of the Iraqi economy on Oil (rent) and lower reserves of the Central Bank of Iraq after 2014 and now compared to previous years, the goal of this research is to achieve financial stability according to selected indicators and achieve an optimal monetary policy to achieve the development goals of The economic policy in the country.

Standard models were used to test the effect of using indirect monetary policy tools in achieving financial stability in the light of selected aggregate indicators.

To measure the effect of independent variables, open market operations, discount rate and foreign reserves on the adopted variable, The third variable of the indicators of financial stability, where it is shown that the effect of each of the foreign reserve the price of rebate is a positive and moral effect, ie, the increase in the price of the discount by one unit leads to an increase of 17.14 in the margin or the interest rate.

And the value of R2 is also good, since the changes explained by the independent variables in the dependent variable in the model are equal to 66%, and the value of the F statistic is significant and The level of 1% and the R2 value is less than the DW value, indicating that there is no problem of the false regression of the model