محددات التحويلات الرسمية للمهاجرين في الجزائر باستخدام نماذج ARDL

Abstract EN

The study aims to test the determinants of worker's remittances in Algeria during the period 1994-2014 using autoregressiw distribution lag models (ARDL), by introducing the basic concepts of migration and remittances from migrants and analysis of deivlopment in Algeria and test the nature of the determinants of worker s remittances in the short and long term, and found the results to the weak the contribution of worker's remittances in GDP, and affected directly by the population growth, the real interest rate in the current period of economic growth, the security situation, the money supply and exchange rate growth in the previous period And inversely with all of the money supply growth in the current period and inflation, Democracy Index and the real interest rate in the previous period with a degree of effect of 99-17%.

and flexibility for both population growth rate in the late period with a degree of418.48% and the security situation of the country with a late period with a degree of63.69% in the long term, also the return of worker's remittances to the equilibrium situation a requires period of51 years which is a long period and a rate of 1.96% per period.