واقع و مستقبل مؤشرات التركيب العمري و النوعي لسكان محافظة النجف بين عامي 2018 و 2030

Abstract EN

Studying the age and structure of the population is of a great importance as it sheds light on : first, the knowledge of the groups of society and the knowledge of age dependency ratio.

Second, the median age and the presumption of oldness.

Third, the proportion of males and females as well as the nature of the population pyramid.

Fourth, the extent to approach and access to the demographic dividend of the society.

Thus, it gives a detailed image of the population of any geographical area, which enhances the role of interested people and planners in providing the requirements of the population and the distribution of land uses of that area, as well as the provision of infrastructure and the required services of education, housing, and health.

Najaf governorate is one of the governorates of Iraq that has witnessed and is still witnessing a clear change in the numbers of its population, whether due to births, deaths, or migration.

Therefore, it was necessary to stand at the age structure and qualitative population, to give a comprehensive image between present and future.

The population of Najaf governorate is a young society where the percentage of births has a significant contribution in bridging the decline in the category (15-64) years because of the oldness and death.

The age dependency ratio of the study society in 2018 is (69.7) and it would be decreased in 2030 to (66.9) and it would be raised in urban areas and decline in the countryside.

The median age of the population of the study area in 20018 is (15.8) years would rise to (22.5) years in 2030.

It would be raised in urban and would decline in the countryside.

The population pyramid has the pattern of broad base and steep slope in its sides, which refers to the youthful population in the study area in 2018 and 2030.

There is no chance of reaching the demographic dividend in 2030 because of the widening population base of the population and the increase in fertility.