تكامل مخرجات نموذج مونتكارلو و سلوك مدراء مشاريع التشييد في السودان
Other Title(s)
Integrating monte Carlo simulation outputs and construction project managers’ behaviors in Sudan
Author
Source
مجلة العلوم و التقانة : في العلوم الهندسية و الحاسوب
Issue
Vol. 20, Issue 1 (30 Apr. 2019), pp.54-63, 10 p.
Publisher
Sudan University of Science and Technology Deanship of Scientific Research
Publication Date
2019-04-30
Country of Publication
Sudan
No. of Pages
10
Main Subjects
Business Administration
Information Technology and Computer Science
Topics
Abstract EN
It has been observed that investors and construction industry organizations in Sudan were proned to several economical, political and social risks that affect their growing or closer.
Also, it has been found that a gap exists between construction project managers’ actual quantitative risk management capabilities and their expected structured risk management capabilities that is supposed to enable them to manage projects effectively.
It is the intent of this research to assess the amount of that gap.
A questionnaire was developed, data collected from project managers and a three point estimates technique was employed to develop deterministic project schedules for a default pjoject.
It was found that an unacceptable gap exist between the expected and actual respondents capabilities.
Infact, Monte Carlo simulation was performed to illustrate the effect of overall project risks of the default project’s duration and set contingency reserves for an agreed degree of confidence.
The critical path was noticed to be dynamic, a phenomenon that is rarely considered with deterministic solutions.
Finally, it is recommended to train respondents and company chief executive officers in the field of risk management.
American Psychological Association (APA)
إبراهيم أحمد آدم. 2019. تكامل مخرجات نموذج مونتكارلو و سلوك مدراء مشاريع التشييد في السودان. مجلة العلوم و التقانة : في العلوم الهندسية و الحاسوب،مج. 20، ع. 1، ص ص. 54-63.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-910242
Modern Language Association (MLA)
إبراهيم أحمد آدم. تكامل مخرجات نموذج مونتكارلو و سلوك مدراء مشاريع التشييد في السودان. مجلة العلوم و التقانة : في العلوم الهندسية و الحاسوب مج. 20، ع. 1 (2019)، ص ص. 54-63.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-910242
American Medical Association (AMA)
إبراهيم أحمد آدم. تكامل مخرجات نموذج مونتكارلو و سلوك مدراء مشاريع التشييد في السودان. مجلة العلوم و التقانة : في العلوم الهندسية و الحاسوب. 2019. مج. 20، ع. 1، ص ص. 54-63.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-910242
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
Arabic
Notes
يتضمن مراجع ببليوجرافية : ص. 63
Record ID
BIM-910242