التنبؤ بالفشل المالي باستخدامها "أنموذج التمان": دراسة تطبيقية لعينة من شركات المساهمة المدرجة في سوق العراق للأوراق المالية

Abstract EN

The study aims to identify the concept of financial stumbling and its types, how to predict the financial failure, what is the credit and what are its conditions, how can the analysis of the steps of credit, what is the market value and what are the most important factors affecting the market value and how to calculate the market value, using the Altman model for data analysis.

The sample included 22 industrial companies listed in the Iraqi market for securities Financial and divided into successful companies and troubled companies and even companies that are not predictable and were weighted financial ratios that can be used to predict financial failure The most important results were achieved by applying this model to the group of companies identified by the research.

The average value of (z) ranged between (5.87 - 3.76) which means increasing the value of( z) from 2.99 for the period from 2004 to 2012, The study recommends the development of administrative competencies, increasing technical and financial expertise, interest in aspects rather than profitability, the use of loans by the client for purposes other than those which were granted to them.