دور المحددات القريبة في عودة ارتفاع الخصوبة في الجزائر حسب مسحي 2002 و(2012-2013)‎

Abstract EN

In recent years, Algerian fertility has experienced a substantial recovery in fertility over the last fifteen years, after three consecutive decades of decline.

To examine this fact, we preferred to use the Bongaarts model to evaluate the possible change in the effects of the most important intermediate factors that led to the fertility recovery between 2002 and 2013 and to determine the relative contribution of each of these variables.

In this study, we have used data from the Algerian Family Health Survey (PAPFAM) conducted in 2002 and the 2012- 2013 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS4).

The results of this study showed that marriage has emerged as the most important variable that has led to the resumption of fertility in Algeria.

We can say that the recovery observed is mainly due to marriage, followed later by the use of contraception and finally to infertility postpartum (breastfeeding).

As for the index of infertility, even if its effect is weak, it has acted in the opposite direction of other indicators, thus contributing to the reduction of fertility rates.