قياس الأداء الاقتصادي الجزائري في ظل تعاقب الأزمات البترولية العالمية

Abstract EN

This research aims to study the volatility of oil prices and its impact on macroeconomic indicators in Algeria, through the diagnosis of the state of the Algerian economy in light of fluctuations in oil prices on world markets.

And this is based on a quantitative analysis of data using ARCH models.

After the analysis of the impulse response function, research shows that any oil price shock affects macroeconomic variables, either positively or negatively, which confirms the relevance of the hydrocarbon sector of the national economy.

Which makes it dependent on external shocks, and hinder the path of development in the country, which requires the diversification of sources of income through the search for sustainable development alternatives.