قياس العلاقة الاقتصادية بين تقلبات أسعار الصرف و معدلات التضخم حالة الاقتصاد الجزائري في الفترة (19702016)‎

Abstract EN

The study aimed at analyzing the relationship between exchange rate fluctuations and inflation rates in the Algerian economy during the period (1970-2016), using the modern econometric methods, mainly in the tests of stationarity, the theory of cointegration and the test of Granger's causality, according to econometric approch.

The results reveal a lack of evidence of the relationship of equilibrium in the long run between the Algerian dinar exchange rates and inflation rate, and moreover, the analysis reveals that there is no trace of causality in both directions, in the sense that the theory of purchasing power parity theory is incorrect on Algerian reality.

And him not equal the purchasing power in the long term and thus can not rely on this theory in the identification and interpretation of the exchange rate of the dinar in the Algerian current reality and with data current.