قياس أثر بعض المتغيرات الاقتصادية الكلية على التضخم في الجزائر خلال الفترة (1980-2016)‎

Abstract EN

his study aims to measure the impact of some macroeconomic variables on inflation in Algeria during the period1980-2016, we used the latest statistical methods have been modern in time series of estimation of the unrestricted regression error correction model (autoregressive Distribution lag (ARDL), this technique is new in analysis the co-integration and error correction models witch more accurate and efficient results , With the Using the statistical program (EVIEWS-10), The Most Important Findings of this study: The Bound Test Approach through F-statistic, that there is a co-integration between the inflation and the independent variables, by the value of its calculated F-statistic, which is greater than the critical value at the significant level of 1%,2.5% and5% and 10%,there is a positive and negative impact of government spending on inflation in the long and short term, as well there is a negative impact of economic growth and unemployment and trade openness on inflation in the short and long term.

also there is a positive effect of the exchange rate and money supply on inflation in the long and short term.