The Combination Forecasting of Electricity Price Based on Price Spikes Processing: A Case Study in South Australia
المؤلفون المشاركون
Wang, Jianzhou
Xiao, Ling
Shi, Jun
المصدر
العدد
المجلد 2014، العدد 2014 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2014)، ص ص. 1-12، 12ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2014-05-12
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
12
التخصصات الرئيسية
الملخص EN
Electricity price forecasting holds very important position in the electricity market.
Inaccurate price forecasting may cause energy waste and management chaos in the electricity market.
However, electricity price forecasting has always been regarded as one of the largest challenges in the electricity market because it shows high volatility, which makes electricity price forecasting difficult.
This paper proposes the use of artificial intelligence optimization combination forecasting models based on preprocessing data, called “chaos particles optimization (CPSO) weight-determined combination models.” These models allow for the weight of the combined model to take values of [-1,1].
In the proposed models, the density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN) algorithm is used to identify outliers, and the outliers are replaced by a new data-produced linear interpolation function.
The proposed CPSO weight-determined combination models are then used to forecast the projected future electricity price.
In this case study, the electricity price data of South Australia are simulated.
The results indicate that, while the weight of the combined model takes values of [-1,1], the proposed combination model can always provide adaptive, reliable, and comparatively accurate forecast results in comparison to traditional combination models.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Wang, Jianzhou& Xiao, Ling& Shi, Jun. 2014. The Combination Forecasting of Electricity Price Based on Price Spikes Processing: A Case Study in South Australia. Abstract and Applied Analysis،Vol. 2014, no. 2014, pp.1-12.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1013404
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Wang, Jianzhou…[et al.]. The Combination Forecasting of Electricity Price Based on Price Spikes Processing: A Case Study in South Australia. Abstract and Applied Analysis No. 2014 (2014), pp.1-12.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1013404
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Wang, Jianzhou& Xiao, Ling& Shi, Jun. The Combination Forecasting of Electricity Price Based on Price Spikes Processing: A Case Study in South Australia. Abstract and Applied Analysis. 2014. Vol. 2014, no. 2014, pp.1-12.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1013404
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-1013404
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
تقوم هذه الخدمة بالتحقق من التشابه أو الانتحال في الأبحاث والمقالات العلمية والأطروحات الجامعية والكتب والأبحاث باللغة العربية، وتحديد درجة التشابه أو أصالة الأعمال البحثية وحماية ملكيتها الفكرية. تعرف اكثر