Estimating Tree Height-Diameter Models with the Bayesian Method

الملخص EN

Six candidate height-diameter models were used to analyze the height-diameter relationships.

The common methods for estimating the height-diameter models have taken the classical (frequentist) approach based on the frequency interpretation of probability, for example, the nonlinear least squares method (NLS) and the maximum likelihood method (ML).

The Bayesian method has an exclusive advantage compared with classical method that the parameters to be estimated are regarded as random variables.

In this study, the classical and Bayesian methods were used to estimate six height-diameter models, respectively.

Both the classical method and Bayesian method showed that the Weibull model was the “best” model using data1.

In addition, based on the Weibull model, data2 was used for comparing Bayesian method with informative priors with uninformative priors and classical method.

The results showed that the improvement in prediction accuracy with Bayesian method led to narrower confidence bands of predicted value in comparison to that for the classical method, and the credible bands of parameters with informative priors were also narrower than uninformative priors and classical method.

The estimated posterior distributions for parameters can be set as new priors in estimating the parameters using data2.