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Environmental Temperature and Thermal Indices: What is the Most Effective Predictor of Heat-Related Mortality in Different Geographical Contexts?
المؤلفون المشاركون
Morabito, Marco
Crisci, Alfonso
Messeri, Alessandro
Capecchi, Valerio
Modesti, Pietro Amedeo
Orlandini, Simone
Gensini, Gian Franco
المصدر
العدد
المجلد 2014، العدد 2014 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2014)، ص ص. 1-15، 15ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2014-01-08
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
15
التخصصات الرئيسية
الطب البشري
تكنولوجيا المعلومات وعلم الحاسوب
الملخص EN
The aim of this study is to identify the most effective thermal predictor of heat-related very-elderly mortality in two cities located in different geographical contexts of central Italy.
We tested the hypothesis that use of the state-of-the-art rational thermal indices, the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI), might provide an improvement in predicting heat-related mortality with respect to other predictors.
Data regarding very elderly people (≥75 years) who died in inland and coastal cities from 2006 to 2008 (May–October) and meteorological and air pollution were obtained from the regional mortality and environmental archives.
Rational (UTCI) and direct thermal indices represented by a set of bivariate/multivariate apparent temperature indices were assessed.
Correlation analyses and generalized additive models were applied.
The Akaike weights were used for the best model selection.
Direct multivariate indices showed the highest correlations with UTCI and were also selected as the best thermal predictors of heat-related mortality for both inland and coastal cities.
Conversely, the UTCI was never identified as the best thermal predictor.
The use of direct multivariate indices, which also account for the extra effect of wind speed and/or solar radiation, revealed the best fitting with all-cause, very-elderly mortality attributable to heat stress.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Morabito, Marco& Crisci, Alfonso& Messeri, Alessandro& Capecchi, Valerio& Modesti, Pietro Amedeo& Gensini, Gian Franco…[et al.]. 2014. Environmental Temperature and Thermal Indices: What is the Most Effective Predictor of Heat-Related Mortality in Different Geographical Contexts?. The Scientific World Journal،Vol. 2014, no. 2014, pp.1-15.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1051766
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Morabito, Marco…[et al.]. Environmental Temperature and Thermal Indices: What is the Most Effective Predictor of Heat-Related Mortality in Different Geographical Contexts?. The Scientific World Journal No. 2014 (2014), pp.1-15.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1051766
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Morabito, Marco& Crisci, Alfonso& Messeri, Alessandro& Capecchi, Valerio& Modesti, Pietro Amedeo& Gensini, Gian Franco…[et al.]. Environmental Temperature and Thermal Indices: What is the Most Effective Predictor of Heat-Related Mortality in Different Geographical Contexts?. The Scientific World Journal. 2014. Vol. 2014, no. 2014, pp.1-15.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1051766
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-1051766
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
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تقوم هذه الخدمة بالتحقق من التشابه أو الانتحال في الأبحاث والمقالات العلمية والأطروحات الجامعية والكتب والأبحاث باللغة العربية، وتحديد درجة التشابه أو أصالة الأعمال البحثية وحماية ملكيتها الفكرية. تعرف اكثر
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