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A Bayesian Method for Water Resources Vulnerability Assessment: A Case Study of the Zhangjiakou Region, North China
المؤلفون المشاركون
Wang, Xuan
Ma, Fangbing
Li, Chunhui
Zhu, Jie
المصدر
Mathematical Problems in Engineering
العدد
المجلد 2015، العدد 2015 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2015)، ص ص. 1-16، 16ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2015-02-22
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
16
التخصصات الرئيسية
الملخص EN
Water resources vulnerability (WRV) assessment is an important basis for maintaining water resources security in a basin.
In this paper, considering the complexity of the water resources system and the uncertainty of the assessment information, a method based on the Bayesian theory was developed for performing WRV assessments while using the constructed indicator system.
This system includes four subsystems, the hydrological subsystem, the socioeconomic subsystem, the ecoenvironmental subsystem and the hydraulic engineering subsystem.
The WRV degree for each subsystem and the integrated water resources system were assessed.
Finally, the assessment results and the characteristics of the Bayesian method were compared with those of the grey relational analysis method and the parametric-system method.
The results showed the following.
(1) The WRV of the integrated water resources system of the entire Zhangjiakou region was very high; Zhangjiakou City and Xuanhua County have tendencies to belong to Extreme WRV, with probabilities of 26.8% and 25%, respectively, while the other seven administrative counties have tendencies to belong to High WRV, with probabilities ranging from 24.6% to 27%.
(2) Compared with the parametric-system method and the grey relational analysis method, the Bayesian method is simple and can effectively address the uncertainty issues with the reliable WRV assessment results.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Wang, Xuan& Ma, Fangbing& Li, Chunhui& Zhu, Jie. 2015. A Bayesian Method for Water Resources Vulnerability Assessment: A Case Study of the Zhangjiakou Region, North China. Mathematical Problems in Engineering،Vol. 2015, no. 2015, pp.1-16.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1072929
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Wang, Xuan…[et al.]. A Bayesian Method for Water Resources Vulnerability Assessment: A Case Study of the Zhangjiakou Region, North China. Mathematical Problems in Engineering No. 2015 (2015), pp.1-16.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1072929
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Wang, Xuan& Ma, Fangbing& Li, Chunhui& Zhu, Jie. A Bayesian Method for Water Resources Vulnerability Assessment: A Case Study of the Zhangjiakou Region, North China. Mathematical Problems in Engineering. 2015. Vol. 2015, no. 2015, pp.1-16.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1072929
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-1072929
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
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