Possible Future Climate Change Impacts on the Hydrological Drought Events in the Weihe River Basin, China

المؤلفون المشاركون

Ma, Mingwei
Yuan, Fei
Ren, Liliang
Shen, Hongren
Li, Yue
Jiang, Shanhu
Yang, Xiaoli
Zhao, Chongxu
Kong, Hao

المصدر

Advances in Meteorology

العدد

المجلد 2016، العدد 2016 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2016)، ص ص. 1-14، 14ص.

الناشر

Hindawi Publishing Corporation

تاريخ النشر

2015-12-24

دولة النشر

مصر

عدد الصفحات

14

التخصصات الرئيسية

الفيزياء

الملخص EN

Quantitative evaluation of future climate change impacts on hydrological drought characteristics is one of important measures for implementing sustainable water resources management and effective disaster mitigation in drought-prone regions under the changing environment.

In this study, a modeling system for projecting the potential future climate change impacts on hydrological droughts in the Weihe River basin (WRB) in North China is presented.

This system consists of a large-scale hydrological model driven by climate outputs from three climate models (CMs) for future streamflow projections, a probabilistic model for univariate drought assessment, and a copula-based bivariate model for joint drought frequency analysis under historical and future climates.

With the observed historical climate data as the inputs, the Variable Infiltration Capacity hydrological model projects an overall runoff reduction in the WRB under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change A1B scenario.

The univariate drought assessment found that although fewer hydrological drought events would occur under A1B scenario, drought duration and severity tend to increase remarkably.

Moreover, the bivariate drought assessment reveals that future droughts in the same return period as the baseline droughts would become more serious.

With these trends in the future, the hydrological drought situation in the WRB would be further deteriorated.

نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)

Yuan, Fei& Ma, Mingwei& Ren, Liliang& Shen, Hongren& Li, Yue& Jiang, Shanhu…[et al.]. 2015. Possible Future Climate Change Impacts on the Hydrological Drought Events in the Weihe River Basin, China. Advances in Meteorology،Vol. 2016, no. 2016, pp.1-14.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1095412

نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)

Yuan, Fei…[et al.]. Possible Future Climate Change Impacts on the Hydrological Drought Events in the Weihe River Basin, China. Advances in Meteorology No. 2016 (2016), pp.1-14.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1095412

نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)

Yuan, Fei& Ma, Mingwei& Ren, Liliang& Shen, Hongren& Li, Yue& Jiang, Shanhu…[et al.]. Possible Future Climate Change Impacts on the Hydrological Drought Events in the Weihe River Basin, China. Advances in Meteorology. 2015. Vol. 2016, no. 2016, pp.1-14.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1095412

نوع البيانات

مقالات

لغة النص

الإنجليزية

الملاحظات

Includes bibliographical references

رقم السجل

BIM-1095412