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Are GRACE-era Terrestrial Water Trends Driven by Anthropogenic Climate Change?
المؤلفون المشاركون
Fasullo, J. T.
Lawrence, D. M.
Swenson, S. C.
المصدر
العدد
المجلد 2016، العدد 2016 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2016)، ص ص. 1-9، 9ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2016-04-03
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
9
التخصصات الرئيسية
الملخص EN
To provide context for observed trends in terrestrial water storage (TWS) during GRACE (2003–2014), trends and variability in the CESM1-CAM5 Large Ensemble (LE) are examined.
Motivated in part by the anomalous nature of climate variability during GRACE, the characteristics of both forced change and internal modes are quantified and their influences on observations are estimated.
Trends during the GRACE era in the LE are dominated by internal variability rather than by the forced response, with TWS anomalies in much of the Americas, eastern Australia, Africa, and southwestern Eurasia largely attributable to the negative phases of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO).
While similarities between observed trends and the model-inferred forced response also exist, it is inappropriate to attribute such trends mainly to anthropogenic forcing.
For several key river basins, trends in the mean state and interannual variability and the time at which the forced response exceeds background variability are also estimated while aspects of global mean TWS, including changes in its annual amplitude and decadal trends, are quantified.
The findings highlight the challenge of detecting anthropogenic climate change in temporally finite satellite datasets and underscore the benefit of utilizing models in the interpretation of the observed record.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Fasullo, J. T.& Lawrence, D. M.& Swenson, S. C.. 2016. Are GRACE-era Terrestrial Water Trends Driven by Anthropogenic Climate Change?. Advances in Meteorology،Vol. 2016, no. 2016, pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1095502
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Fasullo, J. T.…[et al.]. Are GRACE-era Terrestrial Water Trends Driven by Anthropogenic Climate Change?. Advances in Meteorology No. 2016 (2016), pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1095502
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Fasullo, J. T.& Lawrence, D. M.& Swenson, S. C.. Are GRACE-era Terrestrial Water Trends Driven by Anthropogenic Climate Change?. Advances in Meteorology. 2016. Vol. 2016, no. 2016, pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1095502
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-1095502
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
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