Implementation of the WSM5 and WSM6 Single Moment Microphysics Scheme into the RAMS Model: Verification for the HyMeX-SOP1

الملخص EN

This paper shows the results of the implementation of two widely used bulk microphysics parameterizations (BMP) into the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System to improve the Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF).

The schemes are the WSM5 and WSM6 (WRF-single-moment-microphysics classes 5 and 6).

The RAMS is run at high horizontal resolution (4 km) over the whole Italian territory and, to mimic the operational context, it is initialized by the analysis/forecast cycle issued at 12 UTC by the European Centre for Medium Weather Range Forecast (ECMWF).

The performance of the BMP is analysed for the period of September 11 to October 31, 2012, which span most of the Special Observing Period 1 (SOP1) of the hydrological cycle in the Mediterranean experiment (HyMeX).

For this period a database of daily precipitation of thousands of rain gauges over the Italian territory is available.

In SOP1 few hazardous events occurred over Italy and, for one of them, the model performance is shown in detail.

The potential improvement gained by combining the model outputs with different BMP in a single forecast is finally explored.