Flood Forecasting Based on TIGGE Precipitation Ensemble Forecast
المؤلفون المشاركون
Li, Zhijia
Ye, Jinyin
Shao, Yuehong
المصدر
العدد
المجلد 2016، العدد 2016 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2016)، ص ص. 1-9، 9ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2016-12-20
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
9
التخصصات الرئيسية
الملخص EN
TIGGE (THORPEX International Grand Global Ensemble) was a major part of the THORPEX (Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment).
It integrates ensemble precipitation products from all the major forecast centers in the world and provides systematic evaluation on the multimodel ensemble prediction system.
Development of meteorologic-hydrologic coupled flood forecasting model and early warning model based on the TIGGE precipitation ensemble forecast can provide flood probability forecast, extend the lead time of the flood forecast, and gain more time for decision-makers to make the right decision.
In this study, precipitation ensemble forecast products from ECMWF, NCEP, and CMA are used to drive distributed hydrologic model TOPX.
We focus on Yi River catchment and aim to build a flood forecast and early warning system.
The results show that the meteorologic-hydrologic coupled model can satisfactorily predict the flow-process of four flood events.
The predicted occurrence time of peak discharges is close to the observations.
However, the magnitude of the peak discharges is significantly different due to various performances of the ensemble prediction systems.
The coupled forecasting model can accurately predict occurrence of the peak time and the corresponding risk probability of peak discharge based on the probability distribution of peak time and flood warning, which can provide users a strong theoretical foundation and valuable information as a promising new approach.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Ye, Jinyin& Shao, Yuehong& Li, Zhijia. 2016. Flood Forecasting Based on TIGGE Precipitation Ensemble Forecast. Advances in Meteorology،Vol. 2016, no. 2016, pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1095710
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Ye, Jinyin…[et al.]. Flood Forecasting Based on TIGGE Precipitation Ensemble Forecast. Advances in Meteorology No. 2016 (2016), pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1095710
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Ye, Jinyin& Shao, Yuehong& Li, Zhijia. Flood Forecasting Based on TIGGE Precipitation Ensemble Forecast. Advances in Meteorology. 2016. Vol. 2016, no. 2016, pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1095710
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-1095710
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
تقوم هذه الخدمة بالتحقق من التشابه أو الانتحال في الأبحاث والمقالات العلمية والأطروحات الجامعية والكتب والأبحاث باللغة العربية، وتحديد درجة التشابه أو أصالة الأعمال البحثية وحماية ملكيتها الفكرية. تعرف اكثر