Evaluation, Classification, and Influential Factors Analysis of Traffic Congestion in Chinese Cities Using the Online Map Data

الملخص EN

This study proposes a new method to describe, compare, and classify the traffic congestion states in 23 Chinese cities using the online map data and further reveals the influential factors that may affect them.

First, the real-time traffic congestion information is obtained from the online map of AutoNavi in a 15-minute interval.

Next, a new measuring index is introduced to describe the overall characterization of congestion patterns in each city based on online map data, which is named as the congestion ratio.

The next analysis is the cluster analysis based on the temporal distribution of the congestion ratio, which helps to identify groups of the selected cities with similar traffic congestion states.

These cities are categorized as four groups according to the severity of traffic congestion: severely congested, less severely congested, amble, and smooth cities.

Lastly, multiple linear regression models are developed to identify the primary factors that affect the congestion ratio.

The result shows that the influences of per capita road area, car ownership, and vehicle miles traveled (VMT) on the congestion ratio are significant.

Sensitivity analyses are also implemented in order to reveal more effective policy measures in mitigating traffic congestion in urban areas.