Risk Analysis for Cascade Reservoirs Collapse Based on Bayesian Networks under the Combined Action of Flood and Landslide Surge
المؤلفون المشاركون
المصدر
Mathematical Problems in Engineering
العدد
المجلد 2016، العدد 2016 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2016)، ص ص. 1-13، 13ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2016-12-18
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
13
التخصصات الرئيسية
الملخص EN
A method based on a Bayesian network (BN) combined with stochastic Monte Carlo (MC) simulation is used in this research to calculate the probability and analyze the risk of a single reservoir dam overtopping and two reservoirs collapsing under the combined action of flood and landslide surge.
Two adjacent cascade reservoirs on the Dadu River are selected for risk calculation and analysis.
The results show that the conditional probability of a dam overtopping due to flooding in a single reservoir is relatively small; the conditional probability of a dam overtopping due to landslide surge in a single reservoir is relatively large; a combination of flooding and landslide surge greatly increases the risk of the dam overtopping.
The conditional probability that the dam in (downstream) Changheba reservoir overtops as a result of a dam-break flood from (upstream) Houziyan reservoir is greater than 0.8 when the water in Changheba reservoir is at its normal level.
Under the combined action of flooding and landslide surges, the joint probability that the two cascade reservoirs collapse in a variety of typical situations is very small.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Li, Ping& Liang, Chuan. 2016. Risk Analysis for Cascade Reservoirs Collapse Based on Bayesian Networks under the Combined Action of Flood and Landslide Surge. Mathematical Problems in Engineering،Vol. 2016, no. 2016, pp.1-13.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1111953
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Li, Ping& Liang, Chuan. Risk Analysis for Cascade Reservoirs Collapse Based on Bayesian Networks under the Combined Action of Flood and Landslide Surge. Mathematical Problems in Engineering No. 2016 (2016), pp.1-13.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1111953
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Li, Ping& Liang, Chuan. Risk Analysis for Cascade Reservoirs Collapse Based on Bayesian Networks under the Combined Action of Flood and Landslide Surge. Mathematical Problems in Engineering. 2016. Vol. 2016, no. 2016, pp.1-13.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1111953
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-1111953
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
تقوم هذه الخدمة بالتحقق من التشابه أو الانتحال في الأبحاث والمقالات العلمية والأطروحات الجامعية والكتب والأبحاث باللغة العربية، وتحديد درجة التشابه أو أصالة الأعمال البحثية وحماية ملكيتها الفكرية. تعرف اكثر