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Road Short-Term Travel Time Prediction Method Based on Flow Spatial Distribution and the Relations
المؤلفون المشاركون
المصدر
Mathematical Problems in Engineering
العدد
المجلد 2016، العدد 2016 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2016)، ص ص. 1-14، 14ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2016-11-24
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
14
التخصصات الرئيسية
الملخص EN
There are many short-term road travel time forecasting studies based on time series, but indeed, road travel time not only relies on the historical travel time series, but also depends on the road and its adjacent sections history flow.
However, few studies have considered that.
This paper is based on the correlation of flow spatial distribution and the road travel time series, applying nearest neighbor and nonparametric regression method to build a forecasting model.
In aspect of spatial nearest neighbor search, three different space distances are defined.
In addition, two forecasting functions are introduced: one combines the forecasting value by mean weight and the other uses the reciprocal of nearest neighbors distance as combined weight.
Three different distances are applied in nearest neighbor search, which apply to the two forecasting functions.
For travel time series, the nearest neighbor and nonparametric regression are applied too.
Then minimizing forecast error variance is utilized as an objective to establish the combination model.
The empirical results show that the combination model can improve the forecast performance obviously.
Besides, the experimental results of the evaluation for the computational complexity show that the proposed method can satisfy the real-time requirement.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Ming-jun, Deng& Shi-ru, Qu. 2016. Road Short-Term Travel Time Prediction Method Based on Flow Spatial Distribution and the Relations. Mathematical Problems in Engineering،Vol. 2016, no. 2016, pp.1-14.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1112592
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Ming-jun, Deng& Shi-ru, Qu. Road Short-Term Travel Time Prediction Method Based on Flow Spatial Distribution and the Relations. Mathematical Problems in Engineering No. 2016 (2016), pp.1-14.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1112592
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Ming-jun, Deng& Shi-ru, Qu. Road Short-Term Travel Time Prediction Method Based on Flow Spatial Distribution and the Relations. Mathematical Problems in Engineering. 2016. Vol. 2016, no. 2016, pp.1-14.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1112592
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-1112592
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
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تقوم هذه الخدمة بالتحقق من التشابه أو الانتحال في الأبحاث والمقالات العلمية والأطروحات الجامعية والكتب والأبحاث باللغة العربية، وتحديد درجة التشابه أو أصالة الأعمال البحثية وحماية ملكيتها الفكرية. تعرف اكثر
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