A Multistage Multiobjective Model for Emergency Evacuation Considering ATIS

الملخص EN

The impacts of advanced traveler information system’s (ATIS’s) penetration and compliance rates on network performances during hybrid traffic emergency evacuation are investigated in a degraded road network.

Before traffic incident a Path-Size Logit (PSL) route choice model is integrated with constraints on the level of service (LOS) of traffic to formulate a bilevel programming model.

It aims at minimizing traffic demand in road network which may locally deteriorate the LOS.

The lower level is a PSL-stochastic user equilibrium model for multiple classes of users.

During the ongoing incident, a multiobjective multiuser-class stochastic optimization model is established with the objectives of maximizing evacuation reliability and minimizing expected network travel time.

Furthermore, computations and analyses are completed for five designated scenarios including a method proposed in previous literature.

The results show that the evacuation reliability and different kinds of total expected travel time costs regularly increase with emergency traffic’s ATIS compliance rate and decrease with general traffic’s ATIS penetration rate.

The research will help improve transport network performance when considering ATIS’s effect on hybrid traffic.