Application of Dynamical and Statistical Downscaling to East Asian Summer Precipitation for Finely Resolved Datasets

الملخص EN

Various downscaling approaches have been developed to overcome the limitation of the coarse spatial resolution of general circulation models (GCMs).

Such techniques can be grouped into two approaches of dynamical and statistical downscaling.

In this study, we investigated the performances of different downscaling methods, focusing on East Asian summer monsoon precipitation to obtain more finely resolved and value added datasets.

The dynamical downscaling was conducted by the Regional Model Program (RMP) of the Global/Regional Integrated Model system (GRIMs), while the statistical downscaling was performed through coupled pattern-based simple linear regression.

The dynamical downscaling resulted in a better representation of the spatial distribution and long-term trend than the GCM produced; however, it tended to overestimate precipitation over East Asia.

In contrast, the application of the statistical downscaling resulted in a bias in the amount of precipitation, due to low variance that is inherent in regression-based downscaling.

A combination of dynamical and statistical downscaling produced the best results in time and space.

This study provides a guideline for determining the most effective and robust downscaling method in the hydrometeorological applications, which are quite sensitive to the accuracy of downscaled precipitation.