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Exploration of Use of Copulas in Analysing the Relationship between Precipitation and Meteorological Drought in Beijing, China
المؤلفون المشاركون
Zhao, Yong
Fan, Linlin
Wang, Hongrui
Wang, Cheng
Lai, Wenli
المصدر
العدد
المجلد 2017، العدد 2017 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2017)، ص ص. 1-11، 11ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2017-05-16
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
11
التخصصات الرئيسية
الملخص EN
Drought risk analysis is essential for regional water resource management.
In this study, the probabilistic relationship between precipitation and meteorological drought in Beijing, China, was calculated under three different precipitation conditions (precipitation equal to, greater than, or less than a threshold) based on copulas.
The Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) was calculated based on monthly total precipitation and monthly mean temperature data.
The trends and variations in the SPEI were analysed using Hilbert-Huang Transform (HHT) and Mann-Kendall (MK) trend tests with a running approach.
The results of the HHT and MK test indicated a significant decreasing trend in the SPEI.
The copula-based conditional probability indicated that the probability of meteorological drought decreased as monthly precipitation increased and that 10 mm can be regarded as the threshold for triggering extreme drought.
From a quantitative perspective, when R≤10 mm, the probabilities of moderate drought, severe drought, and extreme drought were 22.1%, 18%, and 13.6%, respectively.
This conditional probability distribution not only revealed the occurrence of meteorological drought in Beijing but also provided a quantitative way to analyse the probability of drought under different precipitation conditions.
Thus, the results provide a useful reference for future drought prediction.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Fan, Linlin& Wang, Hongrui& Wang, Cheng& Lai, Wenli& Zhao, Yong. 2017. Exploration of Use of Copulas in Analysing the Relationship between Precipitation and Meteorological Drought in Beijing, China. Advances in Meteorology،Vol. 2017, no. 2017, pp.1-11.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1122689
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Fan, Linlin…[et al.]. Exploration of Use of Copulas in Analysing the Relationship between Precipitation and Meteorological Drought in Beijing, China. Advances in Meteorology No. 2017 (2017), pp.1-11.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1122689
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Fan, Linlin& Wang, Hongrui& Wang, Cheng& Lai, Wenli& Zhao, Yong. Exploration of Use of Copulas in Analysing the Relationship between Precipitation and Meteorological Drought in Beijing, China. Advances in Meteorology. 2017. Vol. 2017, no. 2017, pp.1-11.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1122689
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-1122689
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
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