A Hybrid Approach for Dynamic Simulation of Safety Risks in Mega Construction Projects
المؤلفون المشاركون
Zhou, Zhe
Chang, Hong
Xu, Na
Liu, Qing
Ma, Ling
Deng, Yongliang
Ni, Guodong
المصدر
العدد
المجلد 2020، العدد 2020 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2020)، ص ص. 1-12، 12ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2020-10-23
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
12
التخصصات الرئيسية
الملخص EN
Mega construction projects (MCPs) are inherently high-risk and complex.
The challenge of safety management for mega construction projects is that safety risk factors constantly change and interact with each other in the long-term construction period.
Few of the prior studies have enabled the prediction of the safety state in a dynamic and connected overview, which is a critical characteristic of safety risks in MCPs.
Therefore, a hybrid approach for the dynamic simulation of risk factors is proposed.
A three-stage procedure review of explicit documents, including accident investigation reports and construction standards, was carried out to identify safety risk factors and the causal relationships among them.
Subsequently, the likelihood exposure and consequence (LEC) assessment method was applied to define the changes in risk factors over time.
A system dynamics (SD) model was established to integrate the interacting risks and simulate the developing trend of the overall safety risk state.
Moreover, a sensitivity analysis was provided to rank risk factors and simulate optimal risk mitigation strategies.
Finally, the model was applied to the urban rail transit Line 9 project in China as a case study.
The results indicated that the proposed hybrid approach performed satisfactorily under complex interrelated risk factors.
Therefore, this study provides a practical framework to simulate and predict the safety state dynamically in a timely process for MCPs, either ahead of a project theoretically or during a project with real data.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Xu, Na& Liu, Qing& Ma, Ling& Deng, Yongliang& Chang, Hong& Ni, Guodong…[et al.]. 2020. A Hybrid Approach for Dynamic Simulation of Safety Risks in Mega Construction Projects. Advances in Civil Engineering،Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-12.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1125913
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Xu, Na…[et al.]. A Hybrid Approach for Dynamic Simulation of Safety Risks in Mega Construction Projects. Advances in Civil Engineering No. 2020 (2020), pp.1-12.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1125913
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Xu, Na& Liu, Qing& Ma, Ling& Deng, Yongliang& Chang, Hong& Ni, Guodong…[et al.]. A Hybrid Approach for Dynamic Simulation of Safety Risks in Mega Construction Projects. Advances in Civil Engineering. 2020. Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-12.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1125913
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-1125913
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
تقوم هذه الخدمة بالتحقق من التشابه أو الانتحال في الأبحاث والمقالات العلمية والأطروحات الجامعية والكتب والأبحاث باللغة العربية، وتحديد درجة التشابه أو أصالة الأعمال البحثية وحماية ملكيتها الفكرية. تعرف اكثر