Anthropometric Measures and Frailty Prediction in the Elderly: An Easy-to-Use Tool

الملخص EN

Purpose.

Anthropometry is a useful tool for assessing some risk factors for frailty.

Thus, the aim of this study was to verify the discriminatory performance of anthropometric measures in identifying frailty in the elderly and to create an easy-to-use tool.

Methods.

Cross-sectional study: a subset from the Multidimensional Study of the Elderly in the Family Health Strategy (EMI-SUS) evaluating 538 older adults.

Individuals were classified using the Fried Phenotype criteria, and 26 anthropometric measures were obtained.

The predictive ability of anthropometric measures in identifying frailty was identified through logistic regression and an artificial neural network.

The accuracy of the final models was assessed with an ROC curve.

Results.

The final model comprised the following predictors: weight, waist circumference, bicipital skinfold, sagittal abdominal diameter, and age.

The final neural network models presented a higher ROC curve of 0.78 (CI 95% 0.74–0.82) (P<0.001) than the logistic regression model, with an ROC curve of 0.71 (CI 95% 0.66–0.77) (P<0.001).

Conclusion.

The neural network model provides a reliable tool for identifying prefrailty/frailty in the elderly, with the advantage of being easy to apply in the primary health care.

It may help to provide timely interventions to ameliorate the risk of adverse events.