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Forecasting Trends in Invasive Pneumococcal Disease among Elderly Adults in Quebec
المؤلفون المشاركون
De Wals, Philippe
Zhou, Z.
Deceuninck, G.
Lefebvre, B.
المصدر
Canadian Journal of Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology
العدد
المجلد 2017، العدد 2017 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2017)، ص ص. 1-7، 7ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2017-01-26
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
7
التخصصات الرئيسية
الملخص EN
Background.
In Canada, the current recommendation is to offer PPV23 to adults ≥ 65 years.
PCV13 is now licensed for adults.
Methods.
Invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) cases in adults 65–74 years of age in the Quebec notifiable diseases registry were classified into five serotype categories.
Poisson regression models were fitted to monthly rates observed in 2000–2014 and predictions were made for 2015–2024, using theoretical assumptions regarding indirect effects of childhood vaccination and serotype replacement.
Results.
IPD rates caused by PCV7 serotypes decreased markedly since PCV7 introduction for children in December 2004.
This trend is also underway for additional PCV13 serotypes except serotype 3.
Additional PPV23 serotypes and nonvaccine serotypes have been on rise since 2004 and this is expected to continue.
A small decrease in overall IPD incidence in the next decade is predicted.
The proportion of PCV13 serotypes represented 33% of IPD cases in 2014 and would be 20% (95% CI: 15% to 28%) in 2024.
PPV23 coverage was 53% in 2014 and is expected to be 47% (95% CI: 26% to 85%) in 2024.
Conclusion.
The potential usefulness of a combined PCV13 + PPV23 program for elderly adults would decrease over time but PCV13 would be the only option to prevent serotype 3 IPD.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Zhou, Z.& Deceuninck, G.& Lefebvre, B.& De Wals, Philippe. 2017. Forecasting Trends in Invasive Pneumococcal Disease among Elderly Adults in Quebec. Canadian Journal of Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology،Vol. 2017, no. 2017, pp.1-7.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1141566
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Zhou, Z.…[et al.]. Forecasting Trends in Invasive Pneumococcal Disease among Elderly Adults in Quebec. Canadian Journal of Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology No. 2017 (2017), pp.1-7.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1141566
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Zhou, Z.& Deceuninck, G.& Lefebvre, B.& De Wals, Philippe. Forecasting Trends in Invasive Pneumococcal Disease among Elderly Adults in Quebec. Canadian Journal of Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology. 2017. Vol. 2017, no. 2017, pp.1-7.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1141566
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-1141566
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
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