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Validating a Phenomenological Mathematical Model for Public Health and Safety Interventions Influencing the Evolutionary Stages of Recent Outbreak for Long-Term and Short-Term Domains in Pakistan
المؤلفون المشاركون
Iqbal, Shahid
Asad, Ali
Nawaz, Ahsan
Zahoor, Hafiz
Raheel Shah, Syyed Adnan
Su, Xing
Asghar, Sana
Basit, Farwa
Barkat, Muhammad Qasim
Souhail, Amir
المصدر
العدد
المجلد 2020، العدد 2020 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2020)، ص ص. 1-9، 9ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2020-10-01
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
9
التخصصات الرئيسية
الملخص EN
During the outbreak of an epidemic, it becomes significantly essential to monitor the effects of containment measures and forecast the outbreak, including the epidemic peak.
Many countries have either implemented strict lockdown to counter the spread of coronavirus disease or taken necessary preventive measures across the world to reduce the outbreak of this epidemic war.
Several epidemic models have been presented across the world to examine the effects of public health-related strategies on mitigating the spread of current infectious disease, yet no reputable model has been presented for Pakistan as well as other South-Asian developing countries as per the authors’ knowledge.
In this research, an actual coronavirus prediction in Pakistan is presented, which may guide the decision-makers as to how this pandemic has spread across the country and how it can be controlled.
Furthermore, in the absence of targeted medicines, the analysis helps to develop a precise plan for the eradication of the outbreak by adopting the calculated steps at the right time.
The mathematical phenomenological models have been adopted in this study to predict, project, and simulate the overall affected cases reflected due to the recent outbreak in Pakistan.
These models predict the expected growth, and the estimated results are almost well matched with the real cases.
Through the calibration of parameters and analyzing the current situation, forecast for the appearance of new cases in Pakistan is reported till the end of this year.
The constant level of number of patients and time to reach specific levels are also reported through the simulations.
The drastic conditions are also discussed which may occur if all the preventive restraints are removed.
This research quantitatively describes the significant characteristics of the spread of corona cases.
It acknowledges and provides an understanding of a short-term and long-term transmission of coronavirus outbreak in the country as three evolutionary phases.
Therefore, this research provides a pathway to cope with the emerging threat of a severe outbreak in developing and nondeveloping countries.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Nawaz, Ahsan& Su, Xing& Iqbal, Shahid& Zahoor, Hafiz& Asad, Ali& Asghar, Sana…[et al.]. 2020. Validating a Phenomenological Mathematical Model for Public Health and Safety Interventions Influencing the Evolutionary Stages of Recent Outbreak for Long-Term and Short-Term Domains in Pakistan. Complexity،Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1145007
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Nawaz, Ahsan…[et al.]. Validating a Phenomenological Mathematical Model for Public Health and Safety Interventions Influencing the Evolutionary Stages of Recent Outbreak for Long-Term and Short-Term Domains in Pakistan. Complexity No. 2020 (2020), pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1145007
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Nawaz, Ahsan& Su, Xing& Iqbal, Shahid& Zahoor, Hafiz& Asad, Ali& Asghar, Sana…[et al.]. Validating a Phenomenological Mathematical Model for Public Health and Safety Interventions Influencing the Evolutionary Stages of Recent Outbreak for Long-Term and Short-Term Domains in Pakistan. Complexity. 2020. Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-9.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1145007
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-1145007
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
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تقوم هذه الخدمة بالتحقق من التشابه أو الانتحال في الأبحاث والمقالات العلمية والأطروحات الجامعية والكتب والأبحاث باللغة العربية، وتحديد درجة التشابه أو أصالة الأعمال البحثية وحماية ملكيتها الفكرية. تعرف اكثر
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