On the Stochastic Dynamics of a Social Epidemics Model

الملخص EN

Alcohol abuse is a major social problem, which has caused a lot of damages or hidden dangers to the individual and the society.

In this paper, with random factors of alcoholism considered in mortality rate of compartment populations, we formulate a stochastic alcoholism model according to compartment theory of infectious disease.

Based on this model, we investigate the long-term stochastic dynamics behaviors of two equilibria of the corresponding deterministic model and point out the effect of random disturbance on the stability of the system.

We find that when R0≤1, we get the estimation between the trajectory of stochastic system and E0=(Π/μs,0,0,0) in the average in time with respect to the disturbance intensity, while when R0>1, stochastic system is ergodic and has the unique stationary distribution.

Finally, we carry out numerical simulations to support the corresponding theoretical results.