Nomograms Predicting the Occurrence of Sepsis in Patients following Major Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery
المؤلفون المشاركون
Lu, Shi-Chun
Meng, Fanyu
Zhang, Haoyun
المصدر
Gastroenterology Research and Practice
العدد
المجلد 2020، العدد 2020 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2020)، ص ص. 1-10، 10ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2020-08-01
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
10
التخصصات الرئيسية
الملخص EN
Purpose.
Sepsis is a severe complication in patients following major hepatobiliary and pancreatic surgery.
The purpose of this study was to develop and validate a nomogram based on inflammation biomarkers and clinical characteristics.
Methods.
Patients who underwent major hepatobiliary and pancreatic surgery between June 2015 and April 2017 were retrospectively collected.
Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify the independent risk factors associated with postoperative sepsis.
A training cohort of 522 patients in an earlier period was used to develop the prediction models, and a validation cohort of 136 patients thereafter was used to validate the nomograms.
Results.
Sepsis developed in 55 of 522 patients of the training cohort and 19 of 136 patients in the validation cohort, respectively.
In the training cohort, one nomogram based on clinical characteristics was developed.
The clinical independent risk factors for postoperative sepsis include perioperative blood transfusion, diabetes, operative time, direct bilirubin, and BMI.
Another nomogram was based on both clinical characteristics and inflammation biomarkers.
Multivariate regression analyses showed that previous clinical risk factors, PCT, and CRP were independent risk factors for postoperative sepsis.
The last nomogram showed a good C-index of 0.844 (95% CI, 0.787-0.900) compared with the previous one of 0.777 (95% CI, 0.713-0.840).
Patients with a total score more than 109 in the second model are at high risk.
The positive predictive value and negative predictive value of the second nomogram were 27% and 97%, respectively.
Conclusion.
The nomogram achieved good performances for predicting postoperative sepsis in patients by combining clinical and inflammation risk factors.
This model can provide the early risk estimation of sepsis for patients following major hepatobiliary and pancreatic surgery.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Zhang, Haoyun& Meng, Fanyu& Lu, Shi-Chun. 2020. Nomograms Predicting the Occurrence of Sepsis in Patients following Major Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery. Gastroenterology Research and Practice،Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-10.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1167188
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Zhang, Haoyun…[et al.]. Nomograms Predicting the Occurrence of Sepsis in Patients following Major Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery. Gastroenterology Research and Practice No. 2020 (2020), pp.1-10.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1167188
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Zhang, Haoyun& Meng, Fanyu& Lu, Shi-Chun. Nomograms Predicting the Occurrence of Sepsis in Patients following Major Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery. Gastroenterology Research and Practice. 2020. Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-10.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1167188
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-1167188
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
تقوم هذه الخدمة بالتحقق من التشابه أو الانتحال في الأبحاث والمقالات العلمية والأطروحات الجامعية والكتب والأبحاث باللغة العربية، وتحديد درجة التشابه أو أصالة الأعمال البحثية وحماية ملكيتها الفكرية. تعرف اكثر