An Uncertain Alternating Renewal Insurance Risk Model

الملخص EN

The claim process in an insurance risk model with uncertainty is traditionally described by an uncertain renewal reward process.

However, the claim process actually includes two processes, which are called the report process and the payment process, respectively.

An alternative way is to describe the claim process by an uncertain alternating renewal reward process.

Therefore, this paper proposes an insurance risk model under uncertain measure in which the claim process is supposed to be an alternating renewal reward process and the premium process is regarded as a renewal reward process.

Then, the paper also gives the inverse uncertainty distribution of the insurance risk process.

The expression of ruin index and the uncertainty distribution of the ruin time are derived which both have explicit expressions based on given uncertainty distributions.

Finally, several examples are provided to illustrate the modeling ideas.