Research on Dynamic Evaluation Model of Slope Risk Based on Improved VW-UM

الملخص EN

There are many accidents of slope failure due to rainfall at home and abroad, which have caused heavy casualties and property losses.

Stability analysis and evaluation of slope have become a research hotspot.

Aiming at the slope stability under different rainfall, this paper takes Yuebao Open-pit Mine slope as an example, has constructed a dynamic variable weight (VW) model of influencing factors on slope stability, and has analyzed the dynamic change and correlation of the slope indexes weights under different monthly maximum rainfall.

On this basis, the dynamic evaluation model of slope stability has been established based on uncertainty measurement (UM), and the risk importance (RI) q which is proposed has quantitatively evaluated the risk degree of slope.

The results show that under different monthly maximum rainfall the weight of each index is no longer a fixed value but a nonlinear and dynamic change law, and there is a strong correlation among the monthly maximum rainfall, internal friction angle, and cohesion.

In addition, the q increases gradually with the increase of the monthly maximum rainfall, and the stability evaluation results are highly consistent with the HP1 slope, which have verified the reliability of the dynamic evaluation model.

So, it can provide technical support for the safety production and management of open-pit slope and can also provide reference for related research.