Statistical Downscaling for Rainfall Forecasts Using Modified Constructed Analog Method in Thailand
المؤلفون المشاركون
Luadsong, Anirut
Anuchaivong, Patchalai
Sukawat, Dusadee
المصدر
العدد
المجلد 2017، العدد 2017 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2017)، ص ص. 1-24، 24ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2017-02-20
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
24
التخصصات الرئيسية
الطب البشري
تكنولوجيا المعلومات وعلم الحاسوب
الملخص EN
The simulations of rainfall from historical data were created in this study by using statistical downscaling.
Statistical downscaling techniques are based on a relationship between the variables that are solved by the General Circulation Models (GCMs) and the observed predictions.
The Modified Constructed Analog Method (MCAM) is a technique in downscaling estimation, suitable for rainfall simulation accuracy using weather forecasting.
In this research, the MCAM was used to calculate the Euclidean distance to obtain the number of analog days.
Afterwards, a linear combination of 30 analog days is created with simulated rainfall data which are determined by the corresponding 5 days from the adjusted weights of the appropriate forecast day.
This method is used to forecast the daily rainfall and was received from the Thai Meteorological Department (TMD) from the period during 1979 to 2010 at thirty stations.
The experiment involved the use of rainfall forecast data that was combined with the historical data during the rainy season in 2010.
The result showed that the MCAM gave the correlation value of 0.8 resulting in a reduced percentage error of 13.66%.
The MCAM gave the value of 1094.10 mm which was the closest value to the observed precipitation of 1119.53 mm.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Anuchaivong, Patchalai& Sukawat, Dusadee& Luadsong, Anirut. 2017. Statistical Downscaling for Rainfall Forecasts Using Modified Constructed Analog Method in Thailand. The Scientific World Journal،Vol. 2017, no. 2017, pp.1-24.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1205284
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Anuchaivong, Patchalai…[et al.]. Statistical Downscaling for Rainfall Forecasts Using Modified Constructed Analog Method in Thailand. The Scientific World Journal No. 2017 (2017), pp.1-24.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1205284
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Anuchaivong, Patchalai& Sukawat, Dusadee& Luadsong, Anirut. Statistical Downscaling for Rainfall Forecasts Using Modified Constructed Analog Method in Thailand. The Scientific World Journal. 2017. Vol. 2017, no. 2017, pp.1-24.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1205284
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-1205284
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
تقوم هذه الخدمة بالتحقق من التشابه أو الانتحال في الأبحاث والمقالات العلمية والأطروحات الجامعية والكتب والأبحاث باللغة العربية، وتحديد درجة التشابه أو أصالة الأعمال البحثية وحماية ملكيتها الفكرية. تعرف اكثر