انعكاسات البيئة الخارجية و تداعيات الانتقال الديمقراطي على مستقبل النظام العربي : السيناريوهات المتوقعة 2030

الملخص EN

The aim of the study is to know the future of the Arab world in light of the developments imposed by the international system of competition and maintain dominance within the map of Geopolitics among the major regional powers, to show the impact of the repercussions of the democratic transition on the Arab system after political crises and new security threats, In an effort to provide a vision for the future by developing scenarios based on various reports from various research centers specialized in forward-looking, the study was analyzed in accordance with the forward-looking approach and in accordance with indicators that determine conflict and competition under new alliances with countries that have an effective geostrategic position from the point of view of the "friendly state" as a strategy at the prices of "brothers source of power".