خارطة طريق إحصائية للتنبؤ ببعض بمؤشرات التعليم في محافظة كربلاء المقدسة

الملخص EN

The biomarkers are the growth rate method, the regression analysis method, the single exponential smoothing method and the double exponential smoothing method.

these methods were compared using the standard MSE squares, the absolute error mean MAE, the mean absolute ratios of the MAPE error, the eta square ƹ ^ 2, the coefficient of determination R2 as well using the probability value p-value and comparing it with the level of significance 0.05 to determine the rejection or non-rejection of the assumptions of the estimated models.

it was concluded that the regression analysis method is the best estimation method in terms of prediction accuracy followed by the growth rate method, and then the exponential smoothing method, and the results prove a failure method to pave the exponential prediction.

there is an increase in indicators for education in Karbala governorate, as it was found that there is an increase in the number of children in kindergartens, the number of administrators in nurseries, the number of female teachers in kindergartens, the number of children in kindergarten, the number of students admitted to primary education, the number of primary schools, and the number of teachers in primary education, the number of teachers in the secondary, the number of students in the secondary, the number of secondary schools, the number of teachers in vocational schools, the number of students in vocational schools, the number of students present and the number of teachers at the university.

it is a good indicator of increasing the educational level in the governorate.

it was found that there is an increase in the number of graduate students in the holy city of Karbala in the year (2024), which means that the holy city of Karbala will have an increase in the number of graduate students, and this means that the province will have an increase in the number of graduate students who leads to scientific development in the province.

likewise, the number of children in kindergartens increased and the number of children in kindergartens in the holy city of Karbala in the year (2024).