أثر السياسة النقدية الإسرائيلية على التضخم في فلسطين

الملخص EN

This study aims at identifying the effect of the Israeli monetary policy on inflation in Palestine.

The study shed light on inflation in Israel, money supply in Israel (M1) and shekel exchange rate against the dollar and the euro, to notice the effects on inflation in Palestine.

The researcher examined the effects by carrying out important tests on the time series of these variables.

The researcher took monthly data during 2007 to 2015 to test its stationary and their degree of integration.

In addition to performing co-integration test to determine the number of relations between variables, and finally estimating an ARDL model.

One of the most important results of the study is the integrative relationship when conducting ARDL test which showed that there is a positive relationship between consumer prices in Israel and consumer prices in Palestine.

In addition, the Israeli money supply (M1) relationship was also positive compared to consumer prices in Palestine.

However, the exchange rate of both the US dollar and the euro against the shekel did not have any statistical significance.

In other words, it has no impact on consumer prices in Palestine