إحصائيات "الكورونة" و نمذجة الذروة في الجزائر و الصين : دراسة منهجية نقدية

الملخص EN

The main purpose of this paper is to critically assess the statistical approach to modelling the spread of Corona virus.

In this context, the study outlines the main principles and theoretical foundations required for any statistical and econometric modelling of the spread of Corona virus.

We also offer two applications including (i) modelling the peak of Corona cases and deaths and (ii) modelling the determinants of the Corona cases and deaths in over 200 countries.

The study concludes that any inferences about Corona virus should be made with caution as they may well depend on the forms and specifications of the statistical models