النمذجة المكانية للتطرفات المطرية في محافظة واسط : (استدامة مائية في ظل التغيرات المناخية)‎

الملخص EN

The present research aims to build spatial models that reveal rainstorms in the east of Wasit governorate.

Because it is a water sustainability in climate change, and in order to simulate its spatial variance patterns.

It has a climate chain that spanned from (1944-2018).

The research derives its data matrices from local meteorology represented by rain in ten climate stations distributed four of them for the research area and the other is controlled, and was adopted to identify rainy extremes and their spatial model on a number of statistical methods and geographic techniques including: SPI for drought measurement, SDII guide for measuring humidity extremism, and the Manel Kandel test (MK) and the tendency of X to determine the direction, as well as the Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and remote sensing (RS) technology, which have demonstrated their importance in the spatial patterns distribution of rainy extremes over the spatial extent of the province.

The results of the research showed that there is a trend towards increasing the years of drought of statistical significance, accompanied by a divergence in the years of humidity to get every (2.2, 3.7 years) in the neighborhood and Kut, and as a result of this reason we obtained an indicator of the increasing sustainability of the severity of the years of drought, before that decreases the sustainability of The wet years are very sharp, which symbolize extremism.

These indicators witnessed the second decade of the millennium, as extremism records years of water relief to compensate for the drought shortage, and we found that it was marked by extreme extremism during which rain, especially the Badra East station, rises by (164 mm), from its general average (204 mm) and falls for a period of days to describe strong intensity In the SDII manual.