دراسة اقتصادية تحليلية للوضع الراهن و المستقبلي لإنتاج و استهلاك الألبان و أهم العوامل الاقتصادية المؤثرة عليها في جمهورية مصر العربية

الملخص EN

This research aims at studying for current situation and future for production and consumption of milk and main economics factors affecting on it in the Arab republic of Egypt .The study was based on published and unpublished data pertaining to the period of study (2000-2018) in Arab Republic of Egypt .Both descriptive as well as quantitative analysis have been applied to analyze collected data.

The research problem is lower production efficiency of dairy production which led to a gap between the production and consumption of dairy where production reached about 5173 thousand tons in 2018.

while consumption reached about 5921 thousand tons.

estimated milk gap by about 748 thousand tons for the same year.

Results show that the average relative importance of the value of milk production is estimated to about 8.58% of the value of agricultural production.

and about 23.87% of the value of animal during the period of study.

The results show that the average annual per capita consumption of milk is estimated to about 79.26 kg.

During the period of study.

Moreover.

it was found that the most important factors affecting dairy production are the total number of female cows and buffaloes.

and that the most important factors affecting the consumption of milk and dairy products in Egypt are the population and the continuous increase in the domestic production of milk in Egypt.

In the light of results that have been presented.

the study recommended the following: 1- Increasing the domestic production of green feed crops.

improving productivity of domestic breeds.

improving services for milk producers and finding suitable solutions for the important marketing and production problems to expand their production capacity of milk.

2- Increasing the number of breading cow heads.

especially in small farms because most of them still work in the first preproduction stage (non-economic stage).

3- Feed should be available at affordable prices throughout the year.

especially in summer season.

where it can be manufacturing the used food packages.

such as treated silage and straw in feeding milk animal.

4- Establishing of for collecting non-governmental associations including milk producers to collect and marketing of dairy products.