التركيبة السكانية لدولة الكويت خلال الفترة 1965–2021 والتوقعات المستقبلية 2030: تحليل إحصائي لعدد من المؤشرات الديموجرافية

الملخص EN

The study aimed to get acquainted with the Kuwaiti society from the sixties until the present time.

as well as identify the most important changes that occurred in the demographics of Kuwaiti society during the last fifty years, it represented some statistical indicators related to the population growth of the Kuwaiti society, both Kuwaiti and non-Kuwaiti.

the study also aims to predict the size of Kuwait's population, the population increase, and some of its indicators until 2030, in order to serve decision makers in setting future plans within the framework of the new Kuwait vision 2035.

the study relied on the descriptive and quantitative analysis of available historical data about the population of Kuwait between 1965 and 2021 and the extraction of some percentages and vital indicators for the population of Kuwait during that period.

tables and charts were also used to display and present the results, analyze and interpret them, and the available data series were used to predict the size of the population of Kuwait, and some vital indicators for the population until 2030.

the results of the study showed: the population of Kuwait almost doubles every seven years, which is a very high rate of population increase.

Kuwaitis constitute only 31% of the total population compared to 69% of non-Kuwaitis.

the percentage of males in Kuwaiti society is higher than the percentage of females.

the crude birth rate decreased by nearly 60% during the period from 1975 to 2021, there is a significant decrease in the crude death rate in Kuwait, as well as the rate of natural increase of the population of Kuwait decreased significantly during that period, as the rate decreased from 38.8 per thousand of the population in 1975 to reach 14.3 per thousand of the population in 2021.

the rate of natural increase of the population of Kuwait decreased significantly between 1975 and 2021, as the rate decreased from 38.8 per thousand of the population in 1975 to 14.3 per thousand of the population in 2021.

it is also noted that the rate of natural increase of Kuwaitis during that period was higher than for non-Kuwaitis, as the rate reached 45.1 per thousand Kuwaitis in 1975, compared to 32.5 per thousand non-Kuwaitis, and it decreased to 20.8 per thousand Kuwaitis, compared to 7.8 per thousand non-Kuwaitis in 2021.

the expected population of Kuwait in 2030 is 5396841 people, of whom 1791145 are Kuwaitis and 3555704 are non-Kuwaitis.

it is also expected that the crude birth rate will continue to decrease and decline until it reaches 2.9 births per thousand of the population of Kuwait in 2030, and the rate is 16.9 births per thousand of Kuwaitis, compared to 1.76 births per thousand non- Kuwaitis, the total expected crude death rate for the Kuwait population was 1.93 deaths per 1000 population in 2030, as the expected crude death rate for Kuwaitis in the year 3.06 deaths per thousand Kuwaitis compared to only 1.21 deaths per thousand non-Kuwaitis, while the rate of natural increase is expected to reach 1% yearly in 2030, and the expected population growth rate in Kuwait is 1.51% in 2030.

based on the conclusions reached by the study, the researcher made recommendations, including:- preparing and implementing a comprehensive national policy for the population, centered on achieving the comprehensive development goals of the Kuwaiti society.

the comprehensive renaissance that the Kuwaiti government seeks to achieve, studying the Kuwaiti labor market in both its governmental and private parts, identifying only the necessary needs of non-Kuwaiti workers, as well as preventing the exaggerated recruitment of domestic workers, as well as raising community awareness about the danger of an exaggerated and ill-conceived population increase and what that represents a burden on the state budget as well as on the quality of life and services provided to the Kuwaiti population in the long run.

more efforts are needed to provide infrastructure and material capabilities such as roads, hospitals, schools, universities and other services that accommodate the expected population increase during the coming period, as well as raising the quality and efficiency of the current infrastructure in line with the current and future needs of the Kuwaiti population.