محددات ودور الاستثمارات الزراعية في تحقيق التنمية الاقتصادية المصرية

الملخص EN

The research aimed to study the evolution of the current situation of total and agricultural national investments as well as total and agricultural foreign investments, identify the most important determinants of agricultural investments in Egypt and measuring the impact of agricultural investments on the most important economic variables to know the role of agricultural investments in economic development during the period 2006-2021, using multiple and simple regression and some descriptive statistical indicators, the research reached the following results: -national investments have taken an increasing trend with a value of about 50.211 billion pounds annually, with an annual growth rate of about 12.9%, while agricultural investments have taken an increasing trend with a value of about 2.78 billion pounds annually, and an annual growth rate of about 14.2%, agricultural investments represent about 4.1% of national investments as an average of the study period, while foreign investments and foreign agricultural investments did not achieve any statistical significance of the annual growth rate at the usual levels of significance, agricultural foreign investments represent about 0.41% of total foreign investments as an average for the study period, which is a very small percentage compared to foreign investments directed to other economic sectors.

-national investments are distributed between the public and private sectors, where public sector investments represent about 46.3% of the total national investments as an average for the study period, agricultural investments represent about 3.6% of national investments as an average for the study period, while private sector investments represent about 51.5% of total national investments as an average for the study period.

agricultural investments in the private sector represent 4.3% of total national investments in the private sector as an average for the study period.

-the statistical analysis of the most important determinants of agricultural investments in Egypt that agricultural output in billions of pounds (a direct correlation), agricultural loans in billions of pounds (a direct correlation) and agricultural imports in billions of dollars (an inverse correlation) explain about 93% of the changes in agricultural investments during the study period.

-measuring the correlation between agricultural investments and the most important economic variables shows that increasing agricultural investments by one unit increases GDP by 0.89 units.

increase total savings by 0.85 units; increase agricultural savings by 0.51 units; the agricultural products index fell by 0.19 units.

total exports increased by 0.140 units and agricultural loans by 0.33 units.

the study recommends the need to increase the share of the agricultural sector to boost economic development as well as to improve the general investment climate of the country to attract foreign investments and encourage investors to invest in agricultural projects.