Traffic volume forecasting for rural roads in Jordan
المؤلفون المشاركون
al-Masaid, Hashim R.
al-Amush, Najah J.
المصدر
Jordan Journal of Civil Engineering
العدد
المجلد 8، العدد 3 (30 سبتمبر/أيلول 2014)، ص ص. 319-331، 13ص.
الناشر
جامعة العلوم و التكنولوجيا الأردنية عمادة البحث العلمي
تاريخ النشر
2014-09-30
دولة النشر
الأردن
عدد الصفحات
13
التخصصات الرئيسية
الموضوعات
الملخص EN
The accuracy of traffic forecasting is a point of considerable importance to the effective allocation of limited resources.
Thus, reasonable and accurate forecasting methods should be developed to help engineers and planners make rational decisions and reduce probable associated risks.
This study investigated the performance of three forecasting methods: aggregate regression, disaggregate trend and empirical Bayesian analysis.
To accomplish this objective, traffic volumes for major rural roads in 1996 through 2004 were obtained from the Ministry of Public Works and Housing of Jordan.
For each city or zone, cross-sectional data on socio-economic and demographic variables were collected.
Multivariate regression analysis was carried out to develop mathematical relationships that could have practical applications.
The results indicated that the products of populations-to-roadway length ratio, number of employees, fuel consumption, number of buildings and road type significantly influenced traffic interchange between cities or zones.
For Jordan conditions, the linear model was recommended.
Trend models, having exponential form, were also developed.
Performance analysis indicated that aggregate regression and empirical Bayesian analysis provided comparable results.
In contrast, the performance of trend method was considered to be poor.
Finally, while these results are related to Jordan, they possibly apply elsewhere as well.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
al-Masaid, Hashim R.& al-Amush, Najah J.. 2014. Traffic volume forecasting for rural roads in Jordan. Jordan Journal of Civil Engineering،Vol. 8, no. 3, pp.319-331.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-384150
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
al-Masaid, Hashim R.& al-Amush, Najah J.. Traffic volume forecasting for rural roads in Jordan. Jordan Journal of Civil Engineering Vol. 8, no. 3 (2014), pp.319-331.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-384150
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
al-Masaid, Hashim R.& al-Amush, Najah J.. Traffic volume forecasting for rural roads in Jordan. Jordan Journal of Civil Engineering. 2014. Vol. 8, no. 3, pp.319-331.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-384150
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references : p. 330-331
رقم السجل
BIM-384150
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
تقوم هذه الخدمة بالتحقق من التشابه أو الانتحال في الأبحاث والمقالات العلمية والأطروحات الجامعية والكتب والأبحاث باللغة العربية، وتحديد درجة التشابه أو أصالة الأعمال البحثية وحماية ملكيتها الفكرية. تعرف اكثر