Intelligent Sales Prediction for Pharmaceutical Distribution Companies : A Data Mining Based Approach
المؤلفون المشاركون
Sepehri, Mohammad Mehdi
Farvaresh, Hamid
Khalil Zadeh, Neda
المصدر
Mathematical Problems in Engineering
العدد
المجلد 2014، العدد 2014 (31 ديسمبر/كانون الأول 2014)، ص ص. 1-15، 15ص.
الناشر
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
تاريخ النشر
2014-05-12
دولة النشر
مصر
عدد الصفحات
15
التخصصات الرئيسية
الملخص EN
One of the problems of pharmaceutical distribution companies (PDCs) is how to control inventory levels in order to prevent costs of excessive inventory and to prevent losing customers due to drug shortage.
Consequently, the purpose of this study is to propose a novel method to forecast sales of PDCs.
The presented method is a combination of network analysis tools and time series forecasting methods.
Due to lack of enough past sales records of each drug, an explorative network based analysis is conducted to find clique sets and group members and to use comembers’ sales data in their sales prediction.
Afterwards, time series sales forecasting models were built with three different approaches including ARIMA methodology, neural network, and an advanced hybrid neural network approach.
The offered hybrid method by applying each drug and its comembers past records facilitates capturing both linear and nonlinear patterns of sales accurately.
The performance of the proposed method was evaluated by a real dataset provided by one of the leading PDCs in Iran.
The results indicated that the proposed method is able to cope with low number of past records while it forecasts medicines sales accurately.
نمط استشهاد جمعية علماء النفس الأمريكية (APA)
Khalil Zadeh, Neda& Sepehri, Mohammad Mehdi& Farvaresh, Hamid. 2014. Intelligent Sales Prediction for Pharmaceutical Distribution Companies : A Data Mining Based Approach. Mathematical Problems in Engineering،Vol. 2014, no. 2014, pp.1-15.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-470809
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الأمريكية للغات الحديثة (MLA)
Khalil Zadeh, Neda…[et al.]. Intelligent Sales Prediction for Pharmaceutical Distribution Companies : A Data Mining Based Approach. Mathematical Problems in Engineering No. 2014 (2014), pp.1-15.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-470809
نمط استشهاد الجمعية الطبية الأمريكية (AMA)
Khalil Zadeh, Neda& Sepehri, Mohammad Mehdi& Farvaresh, Hamid. Intelligent Sales Prediction for Pharmaceutical Distribution Companies : A Data Mining Based Approach. Mathematical Problems in Engineering. 2014. Vol. 2014, no. 2014, pp.1-15.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-470809
نوع البيانات
مقالات
لغة النص
الإنجليزية
الملاحظات
Includes bibliographical references
رقم السجل
BIM-470809
قاعدة معامل التأثير والاستشهادات المرجعية العربي "ارسيف Arcif"
أضخم قاعدة بيانات عربية للاستشهادات المرجعية للمجلات العلمية المحكمة الصادرة في العالم العربي
تقوم هذه الخدمة بالتحقق من التشابه أو الانتحال في الأبحاث والمقالات العلمية والأطروحات الجامعية والكتب والأبحاث باللغة العربية، وتحديد درجة التشابه أو أصالة الأعمال البحثية وحماية ملكيتها الفكرية. تعرف اكثر