Long-Term Survival of Young Stroke Patients : A Population-Based Study of Two Stroke Registries from Tartu, Estonia

الملخص EN

The aim of this paper was to evaluate the long-term survival of young stroke patients in Estonia, analyse time trends of survival, and compare the results with other studies.

We have used 2 population-based first-ever stroke registry data (1991–1993 and 2001–2003) to analyse the 1-, 5-, and 7-year outcome of young stroke patients by the Kaplan-Meier method of analysis.

From the group of 1206 patients, 129 (11%) were aged under 55 years.

The overall survival rate at 1, 5, and 7 years was 0.70 (95% CI 0.62–0.78), 0.63 (95% CI 0.55–0.72), and 0.61 (95% CI 0.53–0.70), respectively.

The survival was significantly worse for patients with intracerebral haemorrhage (P<0.01) and for those aged from 45 to 54 years compared to the younger age group from 0 to 44 years (P=0.03).

For patients with ischemic stroke, aged from 15 to 44 years, the 1-, 5-, and 7-year survival rate was 0.89 (95% CI 0.79–1.00), 0.75 (95% CI 0.61–0.93), and 0.75 (0.61–0.93), respectively.

There was no difference in overall survival between the two studied periods.

We report a low long-term survival rate among young stroke patients in Estonia.

Increasing age and hemorrhagic stroke subtype were associated with lower survival.

We have previously shown a worse outcome for 1-year survival compared to other studies and currently this trend continues for 5- and 7-year survival rates.

In fact, these are the lowest survival rates for the combined and separate stroke subtypes reported so far.