استخدام السلاسل الزمنية للتنبؤ بإنتاجية الصمغ العربي في سوق محاصيل الأبيض للفترة (1960-2012 م)‎

الملخص EN

This research deal with using Box-Jenkins models to study and Analysis of annual data on Gum Arabic production in the crops Ellobaied market for the period from (1960-2012) , whereas this models are distinct with high accuracy and flexible in analysis time series .

The results of application show that the proper and efficiency model for representing time series data is the : ARIMA (1,1,0) According to estimation results of this model done forecasting to productivity Gum Arabic in the crops Ellobaied market for the period from (1960-2012) , these values show a harmonic direction with the same original time series.