استخدام سلاسل ماركوف الامتصاصية في تحليل حركة الطلبة خلال المراحل الدراسية : دراسة تطبيقية على طلبة كلية الهندسة بالجامعة الإسلامية بغزة

الملخص EN

This study explored the usage of absorbing Markov chains as one method of stochastic processes.

This method is one of the best methods used in analyzing the movement of student during the stages of their study, and then estimating the required time needed to get their degrees.

The aim is to link higher education output to the society needs.

The study also focused on the theoretical and applied side of absorbing Markov chains and then applied the data on the students of Engineering College in the Islamic university during the period (2000-2011).

Through this study, we observed that the expected overall graduation rate is 76.

4 % and after a time period of 3 years, 2.5 years, 2 years, 1.5 years, and 1 year since admission 98.2 %, 99.2 %, 99.8 %, 100 %, 100 % of the first, second, third, fourth and fifth level respectively will get bachelor degrees in engineering.

In addition, the average number of students that are expected to get a bachelor degree in engineer in the next five years from the academic year 2012 / 2013 to 2016 / 2017 is 2196 students.